Alamo Bowl Betting 2023 Predictions, Odds, Preview
The Washington Huskies defeated the Texas Longhorns 27-20 in the 2022 Alamo Bowl.
Check out last year's coverage here below and tune back in with us soon for the 2023 Alamo Bowl Odds, Picks and Predictions.
After a disappointing first year in 2021, Steve Sarkisian showed why the Texas Longhorns entrusted the program to him this season. Texas went 8-4, but the Longhorns throttled rival Oklahoma 49-0 in the Red River Shootout and nearly knocked off Alabama in Week 2. The Longhorns have been rewarded with a trip to the Alamo Bowl where they will face the 10-2 Washington Huskies.
The Valero Alamo Bowl will be played on Thursday, December 29, 2022, at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN from the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.
Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies Betting Prediction
The Texas Longhorns have won each of their last two trips to the Alamo Bowl (2019 and 2020), and they are 4-1 overall in this bowl game since 2006.
They will be without more than a dozen players for the Alamo Bowl this time, and that will be a little too much to overcome even though they will have the crowd at their backs.
Washington doesn’t have anyone opting out of this game, and that continuity will allow the Huskies to get the win.
Score Prediction: Washington 33, Texas 27
Best Bet: Washington +3 (-110)
Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies Betting Odds
Alamo Bowl Betting Resources
- Date: Thursday, December 29, 2022
- TV-Time: ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Alamodome
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Expert Picks
Texas Longhorns Betting Analysis
Quinn Ewers was a very highly touted recruit coming out of high school, but he failed to beat out C.J. Stroud for the starting job at Ohio State and was a bit underwhelming in his first year at Texas considering the expectations placed upon his shoulders.
Ewers completed just 56.6% of his passes for 1,808 yards (7.3 YPA) with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions. His performance tailed off markedly over the second half of the season, but he will definitely be the starter after backup Hudson Card entered the transfer portal.
Texas had one of the best ground games in the country in 2022, but two-time First Team All-Big 12 running back Bijan Robinson and backup Roschon Johnson opted out of the Alamo Bowl in order to prepare for the NFL Draft. Robinson and Johnson ran for 2,134 yards and 23 touchdowns this season while averaging 6.0 YPC, and that’s a huge loss for the Longhorns.
The good news is that the trio of primary pass catchers is still intact as receivers Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington are still active alongside tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders. No other receiver has more than five receptions, so they can’t afford to lose one of these players.
The Longhorns ranked 14th in Defensive SP+. Texas finally shored up its issues on this side of the ball, allowing 4.7 yards per play. This defense didn’t create a lot of havoc plays, instead focusing on the fundamentals in order to show improvement.
Unfortunately, they won’t have First Team All-Big 12 linebacker DeMarvion Overshown in this game as he is entering the NFL Draft, but leading tackler Jaylan Ford will be on the field on Thursday night.
Washington Huskies Betting Analysis
New head coach Kalen DeBoer had a great first season in charge of Washington. The Huskies went 10-2 and challenged for the PAC 12 Championship, as Indiana transfer quarterback Michael Penix thrived out west.
Penix managed to stay relatively healthy after an injury-plagued career in Bloomington, and he completed 66% of his passes for 4,354 yards (8.7 YPA) with 29 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He doesn’t take off as much as he used to because of injury concerns, but he can still pick up chunks of yards with his legs from time to time.
Washington boasted two all-conference offensive linemen in Jaxson Kirkland and Troy Fautanu. Wayne Taulapapa was the leading rusher with 779 yards (6.2 YPC) and 10 touchdowns, while Cameron Davis was a short yardage back that found the end zone 13 times.
First Team All-PAC 12 WR Rome Odunze was the leading receiver with 70 receptions for 1,088 yards and seven touchdowns, and his presence allowed Jalen McMillan to finish with a similar stat line (71 catches for 1,040 yards and eight TDs).
The Huskies have the 59th ranked defense by SP+. Washington isn’t as strong on this side of the ball as it was under Chris Petersen and Jimmy Lake.
The front seven performed well, but the secondary was porous and conceded 8.1 YPA and 259.2 YPG through the air. It will be important for First Team All-PAC 12 defensive linemen Bralen Trice and Jeremiah Martin to apply pressure as they teamed up to record 16.5 of Washington’s 35 total sacks.
Alamo Bowl Best Bets
Alamo Bowl History
The Alamo Bowl began in 1993 and the matchup currently features schools from the Pac-12 and Big 12. This game takes place at the Alamodome from San Antonio, Texas and the latest installment will be played Dec. 29, 2021 when Oregon and Oklahoma lock horns.
TCU rallied past Stanford, 39-37 in the 2017 edition of the Alamo Bowl, as the Horned Frogs came back from a large deficit for the second time in three years against a Pac-12 school.
The 2018 installment of the Alamo Bowl was exciting, coming down to the end. Washington State and QB Gardner Minshew held on for a 28-26 victory, giving them a school-record 11 wins, although Iowa State was able to earn the backdoor cover. The underdog has now covered in each of the past six seasons.
The Big 12 improved to 5-1 in the past six Alamo Bowls after Texas pounded Colorado. It was the second straight season the Longhorns ended the season with success in San Antonio after roughing up Utah 38-10 in 2019 as a seven-point 'dog.
In 2021, another Alamo Bowl, and another convincing Big 12 victory. The Big 12 posted its sixth win in the past seven Alamo Bowls as Oklahoma boat-raced Oregon 47-32 in a game which was much more lopsided than the final score indicates. After a 6-0 ATS run by the underdogs, the favorite has cashed in each of the past two installments.
Year | Matchup | Line | ATS Result |
2022 | Washington 27 Texas 20 | Texas -3, 67 | Underdog, Under |
2021 | Oklahoma 47 Oregon 32 | Oklahoma -7, 64 | Favorite, Over |
2020 | Texas 55 Colorado 23 | Texas -7.5, 67.5 | Favorite, Over |
2019 | Texas 38 Utah 10 | Utah -7, 55.5 | Underdog, Under |
2018 | Washington State 28 Iowa State 26 | Washington State -2.5, 56 | Underdog, Under |
2017 | TCU 39 Stanford 37 | TCU -3, 49.5 | Underdog, Over |
2016 | Oklahoma State 38 Colorado 8 | Colorado -3, 65 | Underdog, Under |
2015 | TCU 47 Oregon 41 (3OT) | Oregon -7.5, 74 | Underdog, Over |
2014 | UCLA 40 Kansas State 35 | Kansas State -1.5, 61.5 | Underdog, Over |
2013 | Oregon 30 Texas 7 | Oregon -14.5, 67.5 | Favorite, Under |
2012 | Texas 31 Oregon State 27 | Oregon State -3, 56.5 | Underdog, Over |
2011 | Baylor 67 Washington 56 | Baylor -9, 79 | Favorite, Over |
2010 | Oklahoma State 36 Arizona 10 | Oklahoma State -4.5, 68.5 | Favorite, Under |
2009 | Texas Tech 41 Michigan State 31 | Texas Tech -9.5, 60 | Favorite, Over |
2008 | Missouri 30 Northwestern 23 (OT) | Missouri -14, 67 | Underdog, Under |
2007 | Penn State 24 Texas A&M 17 | Penn State -4.5, 52.5 | Favorite, Under |
2006 | Texas 26 Iowa 24 | Texas -9, 54 | Underdog, Under |
2005 | Nebraska 32 Michigan 28 | Michigan -10, 48 | Underdog, Over |
2004 | Ohio State 33 Oklahoma State 7 | Oklahoma State -2, 49 | Underdog, Under |
2003 | Nebraska 17 Michigan State 3 | Nebraska -3, 49.5 | Favorite, Under |
2002 | Wisconsin 31 Colorado 28 (OT) | Colorado -7, 54.5 | Underdog, Over |
2001 | Iowa 19 Texas Tech 16 | Texas Tech -1.5, 58 | Underdog, Under |
2000 | Nebraska 66 Northwestern 17 | Nebraska -14.5, 64.5 | Favorite, Over |
1999 | Penn State 24 Texas A&M 0 | Texas A&M -6, 45 | Underdog, Under |
1998 | Purdue 37 Kansas State 34 | Kansas State -14, 67.5 | Underdog, Over |
1997 | Purdue 33 Oklahoma State 20 | Purdue -3.5, 56 | Favorite, Under |
1996 | Iowa 27 Texas Tech 0 | Texas Tech -3, 47.5 | Underdog, Under |
1995 | Texas A&M 22 Michigan 20 | Michigan -5, 39.5 | Underdog, Over |
1994 | Washington State 10 Baylor 3 | Washington State -5.5, 38.5 | Favorite, Under |
1993 | California 37 Iowa 3 | California -11, 49.5 | Favorite, Under |
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